Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.160390 0.187713 0.217766 0.253202 0.293771 0.338688 0.392108
2025-11-02 0.113419 0.149823 0.194284 0.252232 0.325375 0.414204 0.529781
2025-11-09 0.086440 0.125184 0.176374 0.248207 0.345515 0.471728 0.646609
2025-11-16 0.068733 0.107591 0.162430 0.244224 0.361591 0.522085 0.755860
2025-11-23 0.054712 0.091917 0.147636 0.235383 0.367832 0.557476 0.845866
2025-11-30 0.049403 0.088095 0.148991 0.249304 0.407136 0.641721 1.011034
2025-12-07 0.040872 0.077446 0.137977 0.242288 0.413311 0.677024 1.106506
2025-12-14 0.033936 0.068167 0.127604 0.234488 0.416627 0.707239 1.195567
2025-12-21 0.028685 0.060911 0.119461 0.229043 0.422601 0.741317 1.292450
2025-12-28 0.025651 0.057265 0.117086 0.233092 0.444581 0.802570 1.437269
2026-01-04 0.023568 0.055119 0.117102 0.241277 0.474270 0.878631 1.611847
2026-01-11 0.021380 0.052364 0.115529 0.246172 0.498274 0.946507 1.777081
2026-01-18 0.019111 0.049113 0.112669 0.248507 0.518259 1.009815 1.940868
2026-01-25 0.016850 0.045482 0.108539 0.247840 0.532517 1.064113 2.093109
2026-02-01 0.014644 0.041550 0.103176 0.243902 0.539821 1.105957 2.225515
2026-02-08 0.012756 0.038019 0.098155 0.239984 0.546583 1.146987 2.358926
2026-02-15 0.010829 0.033986 0.091365 0.231282 0.542462 1.166528 2.452794
2026-02-22 0.010465 0.034100 0.094391 0.244984 0.586792 1.284017 2.742525
2026-03-01 0.009020 0.030882 0.088807 0.238078 0.585901 1.311057 2.857071
2026-03-08 0.007739 0.027852 0.083216 0.230401 0.582419 1.332309 2.961176
2026-03-15 0.006731 0.025427 0.078816 0.225042 0.583543 1.362978 3.086075
2026-03-22 0.006211 0.024448 0.078168 0.229027 0.606624 1.441616 3.314654
2026-03-29 0.005884 0.024043 0.079060 0.237083 0.640021 1.544661 3.600468